Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.039544 3.390996 3.771180 4.213737 4.715658 5.268270 5.924195
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.541113 3.011548 3.556127 4.235919 5.065636 6.050276 7.314463
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.223799 2.756388 3.404940 4.258548 5.360897 6.747837 8.642876
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.994020 2.562493 3.283717 4.275042 5.616468 7.388900 9.941998
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.774166 2.348991 3.103503 4.178918 5.692713 7.778209 10.922309
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.622216 2.205559 2.994865 4.157238 5.853095 8.280439 12.097340
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.489602 2.073606 2.885515 4.116807 5.972402 8.722637 13.218281
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.435583 2.045592 2.916774 4.277297 6.395620 9.648206 15.180126
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.343938 1.954012 2.845840 4.274712 6.564077 10.190874 16.581305
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.255746 1.859763 2.761821 4.241604 6.676353 10.647653 17.881855
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.130981 1.700442 2.565934 4.013620 6.448542 10.517819 18.140298
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.071882 1.638403 2.516144 4.016128 6.601219 11.039936 19.618627
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.035257 1.610696 2.520897 4.112827 6.930015 11.912533 21.879926
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.987238 1.561181 2.486483 4.139924 7.138988 12.592188 23.861716
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.942725 1.514059 2.452060 4.163036 7.341062 13.276959 25.939697
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.900840 1.468239 2.416059 4.179318 7.530125 13.953379 28.085931
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.843886 1.392943 2.323927 4.085649 7.500720 14.197488 29.338156
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.803562 1.343674 2.273621 4.064520 7.608153 14.722760 31.271790
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.763567 1.292438 2.216256 4.025104 7.674703 15.168709 33.082388
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.755255 1.296920 2.259409 4.181564 8.151262 16.525970 37.217072
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.724905 1.259600 2.223150 4.179044 8.297242 17.183189 39.754112
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.692663 1.216884 2.174026 4.146769 8.376547 17.699393 42.011252
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.638177 1.129939 2.036208 3.924498 8.026061 17.205223 41.600580